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Trend table status

Trend

SP-500

R2000

COMPX

Primary

? 3/31/20

?- 3/31/20

? 3/31/20

Intermediate

Dn 4/3/20

Dn 3/20/20

? 5/8/20

Sub-Intermediate

Up 4/20/20

Up 4/22/20

Up 4/17/20

Short term

Up 5/20/20

Up 5/20/20

Up 5/20/20


Don Worden of Worden Brothers (makers of Telechart software) used to keep a trend table before his health issues got in the way. I always found it useful. Mine is slightly different. Hopefully helpful. Up? or Dn? means loss of momentum. ? by itself means trend is neutral. ?+ or ?- means trend is neutral with bias of up(+) or down (-)

Links

Sentiment indicator links:

NAAIM: http://www.naaim.org/news/naaim-survey-of-manager-sentiment/
AAII: http://www.aaii.com/
Rydex Nova/Ursa: http://www.market-harmonics.com/free-charts/sentiment/nu.htm

Market internals:

NYSE Bullish percent indicator: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$BPNYA&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=0
NYSE stocks above 50 SMA: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYA50R&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=0
NYSE new highs: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYHGH&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=0
NYSE new lows: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYLOW&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=0
SPX PE ratio: http://www.gurufocus.com/shiller-PE.php
NYSE Margin debt: http://www.nyxdata.com/nysedata/asp/factbook/viewer_edition.asp?mode=table&key=3153&category=8 

Economic:

ECRI: http://www.businesscycle.com/

Market economics: http://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey/Page.mvc/PressReleases
Philly Fed: http://www.philadelphiafed.org/index.cfm
Richmond Fed: http://www.richmondfed.org/research/regional_econom/surveys_of_business_conditions/manufacturing/index.cfm
Empire State Manufacturing: http://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/empir/empiresurvey_overview.html

St. Louis FED (lots of data here): http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
St. Louis FED Financial stress index: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLFSI
Kansas City FED Financial stress index: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/KCFSI

Misc. Interesting Articles:


Article on debt and recognizing a country in trouble
The Yo - Yo Years
The U.S. Business Cycle in the Context of the Yo - Yo Years
Interesting article from the FED on the P/E contraction likely over the next decade

THE WARNING SIGNS OF MAJOR MARKET TOPS
Hoisington Quarterly Review and Outlook – First Quarter 2015  - Very good article on over indebtedness and the negative affects on the economy.
A Turn of the Tide Revisited by Martin Pring - Interesting article on secular bull and bear markets with some market timing things.
The SP-500 200-day average “Goodbye Kiss”  - Great article on the behavior of the market after a prolonged period under the 200 SMA.


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The information in this blog is provided for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice.