SPX has retraced most of the FED induced move down.
SPX closed above the 20 SMA, but it is severely sloped
downward. SPX also hit the lower Keltner channel line which could
provide resistance. Breadth was +77%. New highs were a paltry 8. New
lows contracted again to 11.
The futures confirmed a break of the 50 SMA. They have
not made much progress yet so it remains to be seen if they can stay
above that line.
The green count actually fell a bit today. I am not sure that is important, but it is a bit odd.
The
market ran into a few sellers this afternoon after a strong morning.
There could be some resistance in this area from multiple sources
including the FED day mini melt down. With the market in a short term
overbought condition a pullback here would not be a surprise. If we keep going higher it is another 30 points or so up to the more significant resistance I mentioned on Friday. All I can say is to expect volatility. We are still in an unstable situation.
Interesting targets for 2019.
We appear to technically be in a bear market. There was a Dow Theory sell signal also. Despite that the Wall Street targets are extremely optimistic. There will be a lot of surprised people if things continue to go south.
Bob
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