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Trend table status

Trend

SP-500

R2000

COMPX

Primary

? 3/31/20

?- 3/31/20

? 3/31/20

Intermediate

Dn 4/3/20

Dn 3/20/20

? 5/8/20

Sub-Intermediate

Up 4/20/20

Up 4/22/20

Up 4/17/20

Short term

Up 5/20/20

Up 5/20/20

Up 5/20/20


Don Worden of Worden Brothers (makers of Telechart software) used to keep a trend table before his health issues got in the way. I always found it useful. Mine is slightly different. Hopefully helpful. Up? or Dn? means loss of momentum. ? by itself means trend is neutral. ?+ or ?- means trend is neutral with bias of up(+) or down (-)

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Daily update 1/16

Today's up was largely due to financial earnings as XLF was +2.2%.  Most of the rest of the market showed little enthusiasm.


SPX is slowly closing in on its falling 50 DMA.  The MA will probably be close to today's high tomorrow.  The breadth was +60%.  New highs increased a bit to 21.  New lows dropped to 8.  Not much information in the internals.


The futures shot to the upside after the open.  After 30 minutes of buying there was enough selling to take them down to a new low.  The buyers stepped in again though.  The afternoon saw some buying and selling.  Neither side being aggressive.


The green count slipped some more, but remains slightly overbought.

Financial earnings drove the buying today, but what will tomorrow bring?  What happens with SPX in the vicinity of the 50 DMA?  Heck if I know.  Right now the market is focusing on any positive it can find to keep the rally alive.  However, that could change any day now that the market has retraced most of Dec.'s mini crash.  Be nimble or be in cash.

Sorry to be so late the last two nights.  My sister was in town for a visit.  Back on a more regular schedule now.

Bob

1 comment:

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