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Trend table status

Trend

SP-500

R2000

COMPX

Primary

Up 7/31/20

?- 3/31/20

Up 5/29/20

Intermediate

Up 8/14/20

Up 8/21/20

?+ 9/18/20

Sub-Intermediate

?- 9/15/20

Dn 9/11/20

?- 9/14/20

Short term

? 9/4/20

? 8/18/20

? 9/4/20


Don Worden of Worden Brothers (makers of Telechart software) used to keep a trend table before his health issues got in the way. I always found it useful. Mine is slightly different. Hopefully helpful. Up? or Dn? means loss of momentum. ? by itself means trend is neutral. ?+ or ?- means trend is neutral with bias of up(+) or down (-)

Monday, November 12, 2018

Daily update 11/12

Splat.  Talk about an AAPL supplier cutting its outlook put a damper on tech and the entire market.


SPX opened lower and kept on going.  It broke down through the 200 DMA and 20 DMAs.  Breadth was -71%.  New highs were 57 while new lows came in at 124.  Volume was slightly lower then yesterday.  Bulls put their hands in their pockets.


The futures dipped below the 50 DMA and the lower channel line.  They are right at those lines as I write this.  There could be some support here for a bounce.


The green count slipped below 50, but is still above the red line.  The bulls still have a chance.

Tech selling was in vogue again today.  When this rally started I mentioned we have no sign the tech selling is exhausted.  Today was a good indication that it wasn't.  Another down day tomorrow will break this rally attempt and the odds shift towards a retest of the low sooner rather then later.  The bulls still have a chance to keep the rally going if they come out tomorrow in force.  Most of the price damage was done by 11:30 AM.  The rest of the day was largely sideways with bouts of buying and selling.  SPX took a late day dip to new lows going into the close.  However, QQQ and IWM did not make new lows.  That leaves a multi hour consolidation at the lows.  That could make a bottom for a bounce or be the mid point of the move down.  I don't know which it is.  I have conflicting data at this point. 

Bob

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The information in this blog is provided for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice.