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Trend table status

Trend

SP-500

R2000

COMPX

Primary

Up 7/31/20

?- 3/31/20

Up 5/29/20

Intermediate

Up 8/14/20

Up 8/21/20

?+ 9/18/20

Sub-Intermediate

?- 9/15/20

Dn 9/11/20

?- 9/14/20

Short term

? 9/4/20

? 8/18/20

? 9/4/20


Don Worden of Worden Brothers (makers of Telechart software) used to keep a trend table before his health issues got in the way. I always found it useful. Mine is slightly different. Hopefully helpful. Up? or Dn? means loss of momentum. ? by itself means trend is neutral. ?+ or ?- means trend is neutral with bias of up(+) or down (-)

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Daily update 1/23

Up again.


Not much to say.  Breadth was +57%.  New highs were 291.  New lows dropped to 24.


The futures remain outside the channel in accelerated up move mode.  Every time they get back in the channel buyers show up again.

The bears remain in hibernation.  SPX is unusually steep at new highs after such a long rally.  Normally we need a good sell off to get this steep of a rally.  I have seen lots of people try to explain why this move is justified in the fundamentals. This rate of climb looks more like pure momentum to me.  Momentum moves always seem to go further then what seems rational, but often end rather suddenly.  We are in record territory with the longest period without a 5% or more correction.  A 5% pullback should not surprise anybody.  It is bound to happen sooner then later.  I guess we just play along until it decides to stop.

Bob

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The information in this blog is provided for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice.