If you would like an email sent to you when I update the blog please send an email with "subscribe" in the subject line to traderbob58@gmail.com. To be removed use "unsubscribe".

Search This Blog or Web

Monday, May 15, 2017

Daily update 5/15 This Time is Not Different, Because This Time is Always Different

History was made.  SPX closed at a new high.  It only took 6 weeks to get 1.34 points above the 3/1 intraday high. 

While SPX closed at a new high that close was below the 5/9 intraday high.  Breadth was +71%.  A lot of stocks were up only a little as the indexes were not up very much.  New highs increased to 146, but that is well off the 331 we had on 3/1.  New lows came in at 37 which is elevated for a new closing high.

While SPX made a new intraday high the futures did not eclipse their 5/8 overnight high.

The green count picked up only a bit today and remains below the red line.  This would be good for bulls if the market continues up since we have a long ways to go to a short term overbought condition.  On the other hand, there is a big negative divergence that could mean SPX is not going to break out.

The bulls gave it another try today and managed a close above 2400.  That is about all they accomplished though.  Once SPX got above 2400 the buying dried up.  Rally chasers sat on their hands again.  I think they need to show up tomorrow if this market is really going to break out and move higher.  I don't see anything tonight that gives me any confidence that will happen.  While SPX made a new intraday and closing high it did not really break out.  The new intraday high was by a whopping .18 points.  The market has to do better then that to give me confidence the consolidation is over.  It would not surprise me if the sellers show up tomorrow and SPX closes back below 2400.  The bulls need a good thrust bar that closes well above the 3/1 high. Can they do that tomorrow?

This is a pretty interesting read.  This Time is Not Different, Because This Time is Always Different


No comments:


The information in this blog is provided for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice.