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Trend table status

Trend

SP-500

R2000

COMPX

Primary

Up 7/31/20

?- 3/31/20

Up 5/29/20

Intermediate

Up 10/2/20

Up 8/21/20

Up 10/9/20

Sub-Intermediate

Up 10/15/20

? 10/21/20

Up 10/13/20

Short term

? 10/19/20

? 10/19/20

? 10/19/20


Don Worden of Worden Brothers (makers of Telechart software) used to keep a trend table before his health issues got in the way. I always found it useful. Mine is slightly different. Hopefully helpful. Up? or Dn? means loss of momentum. ? by itself means trend is neutral. ?+ or ?- means trend is neutral with bias of up(+) or down (-)

Monday, January 25, 2016

Daily update 1/25

Splat.


Something sent oil spiraling down today and in the afternoon SPX decided it needed to go with it.  Breadth was -77% showing broad based selling.  It is pretty clear the market is still beholden to whatever oil does.  The volume diminished considerably today.  That means the bulls put their hands in their pockets.  A common problem in bear markets. 


The futures stopped right at the 20 SMA.  The bulls could show up and continue the bounce from here.  If we are still above that 20 SMA in the morning that is probably what will happen.

I think the bounce attempt is still alive, but on life support.  The bulls need to come out to play tomorrow or a retest of the recent low seems likely.  It probably all depends on what oil does and I don't have a crystal ball for that.

Bob

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The information in this blog is provided for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice.