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Trend table status

Trend

SP-500

R2000

COMPX

Primary

Up 7/31/20

?- 3/31/20

Up 5/29/20

Intermediate

?+ 9/25/20

Up 8/21/20

?+ 9/18/20

Sub-Intermediate

?- 9/15/20

Dn 9/11/20

Dn 9/21/20

Short term

? 9/4/20

? 8/18/20

? 9/4/20


Don Worden of Worden Brothers (makers of Telechart software) used to keep a trend table before his health issues got in the way. I always found it useful. Mine is slightly different. Hopefully helpful. Up? or Dn? means loss of momentum. ? by itself means trend is neutral. ?+ or ?- means trend is neutral with bias of up(+) or down (-)

Monday, May 20, 2013

Daily update 5/20

Hmm.  Today looks a lot like a shooting star candle.  Here is the daily SPX chart.



The move off the last low looks quite parabolic in nature. There are four price bars now messing around with the upper channel trend line.  This looks like a short term topping pattern to me.  I was reading today that this is the longest the market has gone without a four day pullback since 1900.  I don't know if it is time yet or not, but I have to think it won't be too far off.  Unless that kind of pullback has been outlawed of course, LOL.  We have had a long string of up Tuesdays.  Will that continue or is it time to break that streak? 

At 1666 SPX is exactly 1000 points above the bear market closing low.  I find it kind of interesting that it closed there two days in a row in a totally random market, LOL.  These kind of round number things can sometimes stop a market.  However, there is another interesting line here.  Check out this weekly chart.


We touched a trend line connecting the two most important tops of this bull market.  Will that be enough to cause some profit taking?  I guess we will see.

Bob

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