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Trend table status

Trend

SP-500

R2000

COMPX

Primary

Up 7/31/20

Up 1/29/21

Up 5/29/20

Intermediate

Up 10/2/20

Up 8/21/20

? 3/26/21

Sub-Intermediate

Up 3/29/21

?- 4/5/21

? 4/1/21

Short term

Up 4/1/21

Up 4/5/21

Up 4/1/21


Don Worden of Worden Brothers (makers of Telechart software) used to keep a trend table before his health issues got in the way. I always found it useful. Mine is slightly different. Hopefully helpful. Up? or Dn? means loss of momentum. ? by itself means trend is neutral. ?+ or ?- means trend is neutral with bias of up(+) or down (-)

Thursday, September 6, 2012

Global economic data

Time for another peek into the inner workings of the global economy.  Starting with the Eurozone.




The PMI is still not recovering.  The report had some disturbing text in it.

Incoming new work fell for the thirteenth consecutive month in August, with the rate of decline the second-fastest during that period. Companies indicated that underlying demand for goods and services was being affected by the ongoing debt and political uncertainty in the Eurozone, and by the onset of softer global economic growth. The big-four nations all reported reduced inflows of new business, with the steepest rate of decline reported by Germany.

Further job losses were reported in August, as companies reacted to weak demand and lower activity by cutting excess capacity. Payroll numbers have now fallen for eight successive months.
Employment fell in France, Italy and Spain, but only Italy reported a quicker rate of job losses than in the previous month. Staffing levels were broadly unchanged in Ireland. The German labour market continued to hold up comparatively well, with modest job creation recorded for the third time in the past four months.


Backlogs of work continued to decline despite lower employment. Outstanding business declined for the fourteenth straight month in August, with solid reductions signalled in all of the nations covered by the survey.


Germany is starting to really feel the affects of the global slowdown now. 

Here is a look at what is happening in China.



Both data sets are at multi-month lows.  No sign of an uptick there yet.

Here is an interesting look at the bigger economies of the world.


There were seven countries in expansion back in July.  It is down to only four now.  Still no sign of a turn around.  This is backed up by the JPM global PMI data.

 
New orders continue to be a problem all around the world.  The latest data suggests the slow down is gathering steam rather then turning around.  That was reinforced by FEDEX issuing a profit warning.  This is the second time since June that FEDEX has warned.  They are low in the food chain and they have gotten caught by surprise twice in three months.  Even if the market continues to float on QE hopes, there is individual company risk traders need to be aware of.

Chart practice site has been update with WYNN as the topic. 
http://traderbob58-chart-practice.blogspot.com/

Bob

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The information in this blog is provided for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice.