If you would like an email sent to you when I update the blog please send an email with "subscribe" in the subject line to traderbob58@gmail.com. To be removed use "unsubscribe".

Search This Blog or Web

Thursday, August 16, 2012

Daily update 8/16

Retest.  I guess all it took was a little worse then expected Philly FED data to get enough buyers in.  Here is the SPX daily chart.

I put a line in on today's close to make it easier to compare with the action back in April.  SPX has closed above this level exactly twice this year.  When the new highs dropped so low I began to think we might not get here.  That was probably pretty stupid, of course it was going to get there, LOL.  This is where the rubber meets the road.  We will see if the buyers are willing to push price significantly higher or not.  I am pretty sure there will be some profit takers here.  I think most people were waiting for this. 

Here is the daily chart from the 2007 top, just for fun.

I posted in some yahoo groups that we were making a major top and a new bear market was coming.  Naturally I got told that was impossible and got several private emails calling me names, LOL.  I guess I got the last laugh that time.  There are an awful lot of similarities in these two charts.  I suggest you study them closely.  The divergences in the economically sensitive indexes are way more pronounced this time.  The economic data is also way worse, but I guess fundamentals don't really matter do they. 

This sure looks to me like we are about to start another bear market.  Whether you think I am nuts or not, I strongly suggest you develop a plan to protect yourself on the outside chance I am right again.


No comments:


The information in this blog is provided for educational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment advice.